Grade 7 Probability: Experimental Probability

Probability from experiments

What You'll Learn

  • Find experimental probability from trial results
  • Compare experimental and theoretical probability

๐Ÿ“–Experimental

Experimental probability = times the event happened รท total trials. A coin landing heads 31 times in 50 flips gives 31/50, a little more than the theoretical 1/2 = 25/50.

Worked examples

Real problems from the practice worksheets, solved one step at a time.

  1. Example 1

    A number cube was rolled 30 times. Results โ€” 1: 5, 2: 5, 3: 5, 4: 7, 5: 3 and 6: 5. What is the experimental probability of rolling a 2 or a 4?

    1. Experimental probability = number of times it happened รท total trials (30).
    2. 2 came up 5 times and 4 came up 7 times: 5 + 7 = 12.
    3. So the experimental probability is 12/30, which simplifies to 2/5.

    Answer: 2/5

  2. Example 2

    A spinner was spun 30 times. Results โ€” yellow: 13, blue: 2, red: 8 and green: 7. What is the experimental probability of NOT landing on blue?

    1. Experimental probability = number of times it happened รท total trials (30).
    2. Blue came up 2 times, so it did NOT come up 30 โˆ’ 2 = 28 times.
    3. So the experimental probability is 28/30, which simplifies to 14/15.

    Answer: 14/15

  3. Example 3

    A coin was flipped 60 times and landed on heads 32 times. The theoretical probability of landing on heads is 1/2. How much greater is the experimental probability than the theoretical probability?

    1. Experimental probability: heads came up 32 times out of 60, so 32/60.
    2. Theoretical probability: 1/2 = 30/60 โ€” in 60 trials you would expect heads about 30 times.
    3. Subtract: 32/60 โˆ’ 30/60 = 2/60, which simplifies to 1/30. The experimental probability is that much greater.

    Answer: 1/30